BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Afton East Union
Class: 1A Class Rank: 123 Conference: (1-14) Overall: (4-17) Overall Strength = 29.86
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/05/2003 Away L * 26.24 47 96 2A 5 (23- 2) Nodaway Valley -0.99 * -48.01
2 12/12/2003 Home L * 23.36 64 67 1A 130 ( 4-19) Lenox -3.87 0.87
3 12/16/2003 Away L * 12.92 38 94 2A 33 (19- 4) Bedford -14.32 * -41.68
4 12/19/2003 Home L * 18.63 65 103 2A 54 (19- 4) Corydon Wayne -8.60 * -29.40
5 01/06/2004 Home L 35.69 57 59 1A 88 (13-10) Earlham 8.46 -10.46
6 01/08/2004 Home L * 27.99 50 55 2A 118 (10-11) Mount Ayr 0.75 -5.75
7 01/09/2004 Home L * 12.32 24 83 2A 5 (23- 2) Nodaway Valley -14.91 * -44.09
8 01/13/2004 Away L * 23.18 58 81 2A 105 ( 9-13) Corning -4.05 -18.95
9 01/15/2004 Home W 39.17 54 27 1A 148 ( 4-17) Murray 11.94 15.06
10 01/16/2004 Away L * 21.51 42 65 1A 83 (12-12) Southeast Warren -5.73 -17.27
11 01/20/2004 Away L * 29.91 52 59 2A 118 (10-11) Mount Ayr 2.67 -9.67
12 01/23/2004 Home L * 33.17 48 62 2A 85 (11-10) Pleasantville 5.93 -19.93
13 01/27/2004 Away L * 20.28 59 69 1A 130 ( 4-19) Lenox -6.95 -3.05
14 01/30/2004 Home L * 40.06 50 53 1A 81 (11-11) Martensdale M-SM 12.83 -15.83
15 02/03/2004 Home L * 24.00 51 92 2A 33 (19- 4) Bedford -3.24 * -37.76
16 02/10/2004 Home W * 44.26 69 67 2A 105 ( 9-13) Corning 17.02 -15.02
17 02/13/2004 Away L * 13.55 54 70 2A 127 ( 4-18) Leon Central Decatur -13.68 -2.32
18 02/14/2004 Home W 33.14 63 60 1A 119 ( 8-14) Villisca 5.91 -2.91
19 02/20/2004 Away L 33.19 52 66 1A 70 (21- 4) Orient-Macksburg 5.96 -19.96
20 02/23/2004 Neutral W 27.13 45 32 1A 148 ( 4-17) Murray -0.10 13.10
21 02/26/2004 Away L 32.19 51 66 1A 70 (21- 4) Orient-Macksburg 4.96 -19.96
Averages 27.23 52.0 67.9
Best game: 44.26 = 2 point win over Corning
Worst game: 12.32 = 59 point loss to Greenfield Nodaway Valley
Team stdev: 9.00